Check Point, Intermediate Results and Nearest Perspectives


for example, forex

Introduction

In Annual-07 it was supposed that the trend may reverse in favor of the dollar. Moreover, possible scenarios and dates of the supposed reversal (check points and limit values) were specified. One of the check points on June 2, 2007 (on the weekly chart dates are always marked by the last day of the week, Saturday) will come in a day.

That is why I suppose that on May 31 we should summarize the results and specify possible nearest perspectives.

Intermediate Results

On the charts given below forecast for 2007 of possible price movement for each pair under consideration is marked by the red dashed line (see Annual-07). It is clearly seen that prices are moving in accordance with the annual forecast.

Figure 1. EUR/USD forecast for 2007.
Figure 1. EUR/USD forecast for 2007.

Figure 2. GBP/USD forecast for 2007.
Figure 2. GBP/USD forecast for 2007.

As it has been already mentioned in the previous articles in Wave Analysis, the key pulse point sometimes points at the extremum following the absolute one and which is of a smaller wave degree. Supposedly such a picture is observed in Figures 1 and 2.

Figure 3. USD/JPY forecast for 2007.
Figure 3. USD/JPY forecast for 2007.

Here the price reversed in accordance with the forecast.

Figure 4. USD/CHF forecast for 2007.
Figure 4. USD/CHF forecast for 2007.

Above the key pulse point local trend reverse was observed. In order to confirm the annual forecast the trend in favor of the dollar must be confirmed.

Possible Nearest Perspectives of the Major Currencies

Trend may have already reversed in favor of the dollar as it was supposed in Annual-07. But there it was also specified that:

«…__confirmation of completion of more than annual prices movement against the dollar (that is the fact of completion of wave (B) or (X) of [B] for the main European currencies) is the main event expected in 2007 from the point of view prices movement forecasting __.»

It should be noted it has not been confirmed yet. Up to the present moment the price has not fixed behind the confirmatory levels and has not broken the edges of the trend channels.

That is why supposed and most probable price movement till the end of 2007, given in Figures 5..8 below, is very vulnerable.

Possible patterns which shape may be assumed by the global correction [B], as well as alternate scenarios, were described in details in Annual-07 and Check Point, Normal Flight.

The only thing we can do is to wait till the price chooses a scenario.

Figure 5.  EUR/USD forecast for the second half of 2007.
Figure 5. EUR/USD forecast for the second half of 2007.

Figure 6. GBP/USD forecast for the second half of 2007.
Figure 6. GBP/USD forecast for the second half of 2007.

Figure 7. USD/JPY forecast for the second half of 2007.
Figure 7. USD/JPY forecast for the second half of 2007.

Figure 8. USD/CHF forecast for the second half of 2007.
Figure 8. USD/CHF forecast for the second half of 2007.

Reference:


Dmitry Voznuy
forDmitry@yahoo.com

May 31, 2007

When using any part of the article for publication or analytical materials reference to the author and Alpari is obligatory.


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